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January 16, 2017: Just as I predicted would eventually happen (back on December 16, 2014), the Australian Transport Safety Bureau (ATSB) has ended their search for the MH370 plane crash wreckage in their search area without ever finding MH370 in it: Underwater search of 120,000 square-kilometre area in the southern Indian Ocean completed. Wreckage of Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 not found there. Malaysia, China and Australia announce decision to suspend the underwater search. "Paul Kennedy, the project director of Fugro – the Dutch company leading the search – acknowledged on Thursday [July 21, 2016] that, if the plane was not found there, "it means it's somewhere else"."

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Sunday, July 6, 2014

Hypothetical MH370 Flight Path to Shahbaz Air Base in Jacobabad, Pakistan (ICAO code: OPJA)

Hover over image to open it in a larger view.

I created a picture to show a hypothetical flight path to Shahbaz Air Base in Jacobabad, Pakistan (ICAO code: OPJA), that MH370 might have flown.

As I have stated in previous posts, MH370 and UAE343 were near each other at 18:22 UTC. Therefore MH370 would have been able to travel the same approximate distance as UAE343 had by 00:19 UTC. (UAE343 was near its destination of Dubai International Airport in the United Arab Emirates at that time.)

My hypothetical flight path assumes the following:

1) MH370 shadowed UAE343 in order to fly through India's airspace without being detected by India's primary radars.
2) Once MH370 was beyond India's primary radar detection range, it broke formation with UAE343 at waypoint BRAVO and flew to Shahbaz Air Base in Jacobabad, Pakistan.
3) United States troops are no longer stationed at Shahbaz Air Base in Jacobabad, Pakistan.
4) Inmarsat's Arc Timing Rings are incorrect (either intentionally or due to error).

I used the following requirements criteria to select possible military airports where MH370 could've landed by the time of the last satellite communication at 00:19 UTC (MH370 Log-On Request to satellite):

1) Airport must have a runway that is long enough for a Boeing 777 to land and take off from.
2) Airport must have a hangar inside of which MH370 could've been hidden.

I used this site to find military airports in Pakistan, then looked at satellite views of them, to see if they had hangars.

Shahbaz Air Base matched all of the criteria.

I eliminated the following airports as being too far to reach, because I used a conservative estimate for the distance that MH370 could have traveled from waypoint BRAVO to a landing location in Pakistan:

Chandhar Air Base (32°04'40"N 73°47'25"E)
Murid Air Base (32°54'34"N 72°46'29"E)
Dhamial Army, Qasim (OPQS)
Shorkot Road Air Base, Rafiqui (OPRQ)
Sargodha Air Base, (OPSR)

The Investigators (Malaysia, Australia, UK, US) involved in the search for MH370 have described the actions on board MH370 as being deliberate, however, the Investigators' actions have been deliberate as well:

1) On March 13, the Investigators leaked to the press the idea that MH370 had crashed in the Indian Ocean. Yet it wasn't until the Black Box ULB batteries were within days of their 30 day expiration point that they began attempting to detect underwater signals from them.
2) Prior to commencing the search for underwater signals, Inmarsat had already identified a "hotspot" location where their analysis showed that MH370 had crashed, yet the Investigators didn't send their ships to that location.
3) On April 5, the Investigators detected underwater signals that at the time their own "analyses determined" "were not consistent with" a ULB signal, yet they intentionally spent 8 weeks investigating them.
4) On May 27, the Investigators released Inmarsat's MH370 Data Communication Logs file, yet they intentionally withheld MH370's initial Log-on Request with the satellite (and subsequent messages) from that file.

Based on those four facts, it appears to me that the Investigators are intentionally providing misinformation to the public. There could be several reasons for them doing that.

This post about a hypothetical landing at a military base in Pakistan is based on the following considerations:

1) The actions on board MH370 were deliberate.
2) MH370 lined up very close to UAE343 at 18:22 UTC.
3) Osama bin Laden lived in Pakistan for 9 years until US Special Forces killed him on May 02, 2011.
4) A stolen Boeing 777 can be loaded with a deadly payload, flown to a target, and detonated, with no traceability back to the country that initiated the attack.

Notes:
1) I am not saying MH370 did land in Pakistan. I am only saying that it was possible.

Flight Path:

WMKK WMKN IGARI BITOD IGARI WMKC WMKP
N6.66E95.94 N14.3E80.25 N16.51E75 N17.82E72.75 N18.92E70.6 BRAVO OPJA

That flight plan and average speed of 470 kts can be plotted on SkyVector.

Approximate UTC times and locations for UAE343 from FlightRadar24:

18:28 N6.66E95.94    MH370 in close proximity of UAE343
20:40 N14.3E80.25    UAE343 enters India
21:27 N16.51E75      UAE343 makes slight NW turn
21:43 N17.82E72.75   UAE343 exits India
22:08 N18.92E70.6    UAE343 goes out of range
23:41 N23.88E59.28   UAE343 flying
00:25 OMDB           UAE343 lands