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January 16, 2017: Just as I predicted would eventually happen (back on December 16, 2014), the Australian Transport Safety Bureau (ATSB) has ended their search for the MH370 plane crash wreckage in their search area without ever finding MH370 in it: Underwater search of 120,000 square-kilometre area in the southern Indian Ocean completed. Wreckage of Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 not found there. Malaysia, China and Australia announce decision to suspend the underwater search. "Paul Kennedy, the project director of Fugro – the Dutch company leading the search – acknowledged on Thursday [July 21, 2016] that, if the plane was not found there, "it means it's somewhere else"."

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Sunday, August 9, 2015

MH370 Hijacked, then Shot Down or Landed

Hover over images to open them in a larger view.

I created this picture to show that if MH370's hijacker wanted to crash MH370 somewhere that it would not be found, he would have avoided the risk of detection by JORN by flying along path C shown in the picture.

MH370 took off from Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia at 16:41 UTC, then disappeared from ATC screens approximately 40 minutes later, at ~17:21 UTC, when the hijacker turned off the transponder. Approximately 1 hour and 44 minutes after MH370 had taken off, MH370 initiated a never explained Log-on to the satellite/ground station at 18:25 UTC.

For 1 hour and 44 minutes, the hijacker's well thought out plan was executing flawlessly. After the transponder was turned off, MH370 had crossed through several country's ground radar detection ranges without challenge from any military airforce, all while maintaining a standard cruising altitude and speed. All of the evidence confirms the fact that the acts on board MH370 were deliberate.

Yet despite the initial success of the hijacking, investigators want everyone to believe that sometime after 1 hour and 44 minutes of normal flight, something went wrong. Over time, they have suggested sometimes contradictory explanations for what happened on board MH370:

1) The person (hijacker) in control of MH370 wanted to crash MH370 somewhere that it would not be found (yet flew MH370 into the detection range of JORN).
2) Everyone on board MH370 was unconscious when MH370 turned and headed south (yet MH370 initiated a never explained Log-on to the satellite/ground station at 18:25 UTC).
3) MH370 ran out of fuel and crashed south west of Perth at approximately 00:19 UTC (despite having enough fuel to travel much further than that).

My picture shows the following:

    the known flight path that MH370 took, up to 18:22 UTC
    MH370's estimated maximum range (based on UAE343)
    the MH370 search area
    JORN's coverage area
    the location where the debris was found
    a hypothetical flight path to Karachi, Pakistan
    a hypothetical flight path to Diego Garcia
    a hypothetical flight path to the South Pole
    a hypothetical flight path to Perth, Australia

Timeline of critical events during MH370's flight:

17:07 UTC MH370 ACARS turned off
17:21 UTC MH370 Transponder turned off
18:22 UTC last Malaysian military radar signal of MH370
18:25 UTC MH370 initiated a Log-on to the satellite/ground station
00:19 UTC MH370 initiated a Log-on to the satellite/ground station

Important note: at 18:22 UTC, MH370 was in close proximity to UAE343

I plotted the hypothetical flight plans on SkyVector:

A) WMKK WMKN IGARI BITOD IGARI WMKP NILAM VOMM AGELA PARAR OPKC
B) WMKK WMKN IGARI BITOD IGARI WMKP NILAM KADAP FJDG
C) WMKK WMKN IGARI BITOD IGARI WMKP NILAM VIROT SCRM
D) WMKK WMKN IGARI BITOD IGARI WMKP NILAM VIROT YPPH

A) Shadows UAE343 then lands in Pakistan and is hidden in hangar
B) Flies toward Diego Garcia and is shot down
C) Flies toward South Pole, avoiding JORN, runs out of fuel and crashes in the ocean
D) Flies toward Perth and is shot down

I have several questions about MH370 that I have never seen answered by any investigative journalist:

1) Was JORN on or off?
2) Why would MH370 run out of fuel in the search area, when its maximum range was further than that?
3) If the hijacker wanted to crash MH370 somewhere that it would not be found, why did he risk detection by JORN, instead of flying along path C?
4) Why did the MH370 searchers waste 8 weeks investigating underwater signals they detected that they knew, at the time they detected them, were outside of the specifications for an Underwater Locator Beacon (ULB)?
5) Why did Inmarsat withhold MH370's initial Log-on Messages?

Concluding Comments:

1) While I am saying that the actions on board MH370 were deliberate, I am not making any allegations about who the hijacker was. Although the pilot radioed ATC just before the transponder was turned off, that does not make him the hijacker, because he could have been under duress, obeying orders from a hijacker.
2) In my opinion, if the hijacker wanted to crash MH370 somewhere that it would not be found, he would have flown it along path C. Because he did not do that, there are only two other possibilities of where he was flying MH370:
     to a destination where he could land it and hide it inside a hangar
     to a destination for a 9/11 style attack

Please see previous blog posts and links about events that occurred during the search for MH370.

Monday, August 3, 2015

Hypothetical MH370 Flight Path to Perth or Diego Garcia

Hover over images to open them in a larger view. 

 As a result of the discovery of debris from MH370 that was found on Reunion Island (near Madagascar), on the beach at Saint-Andre, on Wednesday, July 29, 2015, I created a picture that shows the following:

  • the known flight path that MH370 took, up to 18:22 UTC
  • MH370's estimated maximum range (based on UAE343)
  • the MH370 search area
  • JORN's coverage area
  • the location where the debris was found
  • a hypothetical flight path to Perth, Australia
  • a hypothetical flight path to Diego Garcia

Timeline of critical events during MH370's flight:

17:07 UTC MH370 ACARS turned off
17:21 UTC MH370 Transponder turned off
18:22 UTC last Malaysian military radar signal of MH370
18:25 UTC MH370 initiated a Log-on to the satellite/ground station

I plotted the hypothetical flight plans on SkyVector:

Flight Path to Perth:
WMKK WMKN IGARI BITOD IGARI WMKP NILAM VIROT YPPH

Flight Path to Diego Garcia:
WMKK WMKN IGARI BITOD IGARI WMKP NILAM KADAP FJDG

I have several questions about MH370 that I have never seen answered by any investigative journalist:

1) If MH370 crashed in the search area, why didn't JORN detect it?
2) Why did the MH370 searchers waste 8 weeks investigating underwater signals they detected that they knew, at the time they detected them, were outside of the specifications for an Underwater Locator Beacon (ULB)?
3) Why did Inmarsat withhold MH370's initial Log-on Messages?

Please see previous blog posts and links about events that occurred during the search for MH370.