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January 16, 2017: Just as I predicted would eventually happen (back on December 16, 2014), the Australian Transport Safety Bureau (ATSB) has ended their search for the MH370 plane crash wreckage in their search area without ever finding MH370 in it: Underwater search of 120,000 square-kilometre area in the southern Indian Ocean completed. Wreckage of Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 not found there. Malaysia, China and Australia announce decision to suspend the underwater search. "Paul Kennedy, the project director of Fugro – the Dutch company leading the search – acknowledged on Thursday [July 21, 2016] that, if the plane was not found there, "it means it's somewhere else"."

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Thursday, June 19, 2014

Inmarsat's "hotspot" location (BBC Horizon programme)


Hover over images to open them in a larger view.

I captured screen images from BBC Two's Horizon programme "Where is Flight MH370?" that show the location where Inmarsat's analysis indicates MH370 crashed in the Indian Ocean.

During the programme, Inmarsat stated:

"We can identify a path that matches exactly with all those frequency measurements and with the timing measurements and lands on the final arc at a particular location, which then gives us a sort of a hotspot area on the final arc where we believe the most likely area is," explained (Chris) Ashton.
(Transcript Source: The Guardian)

The programme itself stated:

"Horizon understands Inmarsat's hotspot on the final arc is around 28 degrees south. It is an area yet to be searched."

Yet despite Inmarsat's certainty of their precise final location of MH370, and despite all of the Investigators hailing Inmarsat's analysis as accurate and verified, not only did the Investigators not go to that location to listen for the Black Box underwater pings, the JACC has now postponed the release of their new search zone definition from mid-June to the end of June.

Why is the JACC delaying releasing their new search zone definition, when Inmarsat knows the precise location of MH370, and knew that location prior to taping the Horizon programme?

The Horizon programme itself was misleading, in that it referred to "7 Handshake signals", and defined a "Handshake" as being a signal that was initiated by the satellite/ground station and sent to MH370.

At 18:25 UTC, MH370 initiated a Log-on to the satellite/ground station.

The Horizon programme failed to point out that the 18:25 UTC message was initiated by MH370, not the satellite/ground station, and they didn't provide any explanation for that message.

Note that the last military radar detection of MH370 was at 18:22 UTC. MH370 stopped communicating with the satellite/ground station at 17:07 UTC, but then it initiated a Log-on to the satellite/ground station three minutes after it was no longer within the military radar's range. This is also the same time that MH370 was within close proximity of UAE343. The Horizon programme never mentioned that fact, either.

At 00:19 UTC, MH370 initiated a Log-on to the satellite/ground station.

The Horizon programme described the 00:19 UTC message as a "partial Handshake" that some Investigators have theorized was due to the plane rolling (banking) and fuel restarting the engines, which caused the "startup sequence" on MH370. They also described the message as an "incomplete handshake" despite the fact that MH370 initiated the Log-on and subsequently sent a Log-on/Log-off Acknowledge. While additional messages might have been expected after the Acknowledge, to describe the sequence of messages at 00:19 UTC as "incomplete" is misleading.

On March 13, the US Government was certain MH370 had crashed in the Indian Ocean. They never even mentioned the possibility of MH370 having flown on the "northern arc" path.


White House spokesman Jay Carney said, “It's my understanding that based on some new information that's not necessarily conclusive, but new information, an additional search area may be opened in the Indian Ocean, and we are consulting with international partners about the appropriate assets to deploy.”

The Horizon programme showed a news clip of Jay Carney, and Inmarsat said the information the US Government was referring to had come from them.

So on March 13, the US, the UK, and Australia knew, with certainty, that MH370 could only be in the Indian Ocean, at the location identified by Inmarsat, yet that location still has not been searched. And they wasted two months searching an area where they had detected underwater signals that they should have known were outside of the specifications for a Black Box Underwater Locator Beacon (ULB). And that delay brought them closer to Winter in the southern hemisphere, when the ocean would be too harsh to search, allowing them to postpone the search for several months.

I have tried to remain neutral in my blog posts, but as time goes by, it gets harder to withhold my disbelief and skepticism in what the Investigators claim.

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